YEARLY HIGH
0.0378 PKR
YEARLY LOW
0.0302 PKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0326 PKR

2018 UGX to PKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to PKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 0.0378. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 0.0302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0076 PKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0304 to the December average rate of 0.0374, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0378 was up 23.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 189 PKR
2017 Average 146 PKR
Yearly Trough Low 151 PKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 38.16 PKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0381
0.0297
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to PKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0308, compared to 0.0344 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0308
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0344

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0037 PKR (High: 0.0349 / Low: 0.0312). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 PKR (High: 0.0305 / Low: 0.0303).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0037
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0374) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0300), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0075 (+24.93%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0374
2017 Avg (December) 0.0300

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0305 0.0303 0.0304
February 0.0305 0.0302 0.0304
March 0.0317 0.0302 0.0307
April 0.0314 0.0311 0.0313
May 0.0312 0.0306 0.0310
June 0.0315 0.0302 0.0309
July 0.0349 0.0312 0.0332
August 0.0336 0.0326 0.0330
September 0.0327 0.0322 0.0324
October 0.0355 0.0322 0.0344
November 0.0361 0.0355 0.0358
December 0.0378 0.0359 0.0374