YEARLY HIGH
7.4251 STD
YEARLY LOW
6.7418 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.1436 STD

2013 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 19, valuing the pair at 7.4251. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 6.7418.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6833 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8838 to the December average rate of 7.1337, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.4251 was down 8.96% compared to the 2012 peak of 8.1561, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,125 STD
2012 Average 38,237 STD
Yearly Trough Low 33,709 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,416.35 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.3609
6.8404
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1251, compared to 7.1621 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0371 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1251
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.1621

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.3572 STD (High: 7.3948 / Low: 7.0376). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1205 STD (High: 7.2808 / Low: 7.1603).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3572
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1205

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1276 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 7.2914) against the same month in 2012 (average: 7.6421), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3507 (-4.59%).

2013 Avg (May) 7.2914
2012 Avg (May) 7.6421

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9511 6.7986 6.8838
February 7.0756 6.7418 6.9016
March 7.3948 7.0376 7.1761
April 7.4131 7.2131 7.3175
May 7.4251 7.1261 7.2914
June 7.3451 7.0474 7.1801
July 7.3586 7.1225 7.2539
August 7.2245 6.9425 7.1263
September 7.2198 7.0758 7.1512
October 7.1604 7.0239 7.0957
November 7.2808 7.1603 7.2118
December 7.1891 7.0125 7.1337