YEARLY HIGH
6.2723 STD
YEARLY LOW
5.8364 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.0686 STD

2023 UGX to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the UGX to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 6.2723. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 30, dropping to 5.8364.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4359 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.1825 to the December average rate of 5.8921, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 6.2723 was down 0.00% compared to the 2022 peak of 6.2723, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,361 STD
2022 Average 30,050 STD
Yearly Trough Low 29,182 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,179.44 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.2474
5.8598
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1443, compared to 5.9929 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1514 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1443
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9929

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 0.2657 STD (High: 6.2163 / Low: 5.9506). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0742 STD (High: 5.9282 / Low: 5.8540).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2657
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0742

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1603 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1603

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 6.2151) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.8760), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3392 (+5.77%).

2023 Avg (July) 6.2151
2022 Avg (July) 5.8760

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.2401 6.1161 6.1825
February 6.2544 6.1286 6.1908
March 6.1776 6.0234 6.1082
April 6.1442 6.0343 6.0980
May 6.1513 6.0399 6.1249
June 6.2492 6.0795 6.1614
July 6.2723 6.0816 6.2151
August 6.2163 5.9506 6.0548
September 5.9976 5.9115 5.9596
October 5.9763 5.8884 5.9376
November 5.9398 5.8364 5.8982
December 5.9282 5.8540 5.8921