2016 UGX to UZS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9000 UZS

YEARLY LOW

0.8096 UZS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8679 UZS

2016 UGX to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.9000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.8096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0904 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8174 to the December average rate of 0.8875, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9000 was up 2.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,500 UZS

2015 Average 3,986 UZS

Yearly Trough Low 4,048 UZS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 452.10 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8969

0.8102

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8521, compared to 0.8838 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0317 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8521

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8838

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0336 UZS (High: 0.8499 / Low: 0.8162). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 UZS (High: 0.8551 / Low: 0.8480).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0336

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0085 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0085

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.8875) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8257), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0618 (+7.49%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.8875

2015 Avg (December) 0.8257

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8321	0.8096	0.8174
February	0.8499	0.8162	0.8301
March	0.8551	0.8480	0.8511
April	0.8764	0.8526	0.8659
May	0.8784	0.8658	0.8729
June	0.8798	0.8654	0.8750
July	0.8817	0.8672	0.8756
August	0.8886	0.8788	0.8841
September	0.8906	0.8799	0.8846
October	0.8945	0.8841	0.8897
November	0.8974	0.8700	0.8811
December	0.9000	0.8738	0.8875