YEARLY HIGH
3.0602 UZS
YEARLY LOW
2.8173 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9590 UZS

2021 UGX to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 3.0602. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 2.8173.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2429 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8405 to the December average rate of 3.0408, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3.0602 was up 6.47% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.8743, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,301 UZS
2020 Average 13,527 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 14,086 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,214.66 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

3.0608
2.8204
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9056, compared to 3.0123 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1067 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9056
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0123

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0856 UZS (High: 2.9482 / Low: 2.8626). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0143 UZS (High: 2.8748 / Low: 2.8605).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0856
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0371 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0371

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 3.0408) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.8512), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1896 (+6.65%).

2021 Avg (December) 3.0408
2020 Avg (December) 2.8512

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8657 2.8173 2.8405
February 2.8812 2.8581 2.8720
March 2.8748 2.8605 2.8670
April 2.9482 2.8626 2.8963
May 2.9914 2.9327 2.9707
June 3.0126 2.9713 2.9873
July 3.0091 2.9716 2.9894
August 3.0221 2.9942 3.0099
September 3.0333 3.0042 3.0254
October 3.0233 2.9487 2.9884
November 3.0409 3.0044 3.0201
December 3.0602 3.0176 3.0408