2011 UGX to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0407 VUV

YEARLY LOW

0.0314 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0363 VUV

2011 UGX to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.0407. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 0.0314.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0093 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0402 to the December average rate of 0.0378, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0407 was down 20.23% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204 VUV

2010 Average 224 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 157 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 46.55 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0411

0.0311

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0385, compared to 0.0341 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0385

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0341

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0045 VUV (High: 0.0375 / Low: 0.0330). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 VUV (High: 0.0324 / Low: 0.0314).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0045

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0402) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0497), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0095 (-19.03%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0402

2010 Avg (January) 0.0497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0407	0.0391	0.0402
February	0.0405	0.0390	0.0397
March	0.0394	0.0383	0.0389
April	0.0394	0.0375	0.0385
May	0.0382	0.0366	0.0374
June	0.0375	0.0330	0.0362
July	0.0350	0.0330	0.0341
August	0.0333	0.0316	0.0324
September	0.0324	0.0314	0.0320
October	0.0350	0.0319	0.0328
November	0.0366	0.0341	0.0354
December	0.0396	0.0360	0.0378