2016 UGX to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0338 VUV

YEARLY LOW

0.0296 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0319 VUV

2016 UGX to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.0338. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 0.0296.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0042 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0328 to the December average rate of 0.0300, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0338 was down 9.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0372, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 169 VUV

2015 Average 168 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 148 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20.84 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0332

0.0298

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0327, compared to 0.0310 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0327

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0310

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0018 VUV (High: 0.0338 / Low: 0.0320). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 VUV (High: 0.0321 / Low: 0.0316).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0010 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0328) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0361), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0034 (-9.32%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0328

2015 Avg (March) 0.0361

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0331	0.0323	0.0328
February	0.0337	0.0325	0.0330
March	0.0338	0.0320	0.0328
April	0.0328	0.0319	0.0323
May	0.0335	0.0323	0.0328
June	0.0335	0.0318	0.0328
July	0.0321	0.0316	0.0318
August	0.0322	0.0313	0.0316
September	0.0317	0.0312	0.0314
October	0.0314	0.0308	0.0311
November	0.0311	0.0296	0.0301
December	0.0306	0.0296	0.0300