YEARLY HIGH
0.0329 XPF
YEARLY LOW
0.0305 XPF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0316 XPF

2016 UGX to XPF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to XPF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 2, valuing the pair at 0.0329. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 0.0305.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0023 XPF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0319 to the December average rate of 0.0315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0329 was down 15.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0391, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 164 XPF
2015 Average 168 XPF
Yearly Trough Low 153 XPF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11.74 XPF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0320
0.0309
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to XPF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0316, compared to 0.0315 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0316
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0315

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0020 XPF (High: 0.0325 / Low: 0.0305). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 XPF (High: 0.0316 / Low: 0.0313).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0020
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0005 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0319) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0375), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0056 (-14.90%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0319
2015 Avg (March) 0.0375

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0327 0.0314 0.0319
February 0.0325 0.0305 0.0314
March 0.0329 0.0312 0.0319
April 0.0322 0.0311 0.0315
May 0.0320 0.0312 0.0316
June 0.0318 0.0312 0.0316
July 0.0322 0.0315 0.0319
August 0.0319 0.0312 0.0315
September 0.0316 0.0313 0.0315
October 0.0318 0.0312 0.0315
November 0.0313 0.0307 0.0310
December 0.0324 0.0306 0.0315