YEARLY HIGH
0.0286 XPF
YEARLY LOW
0.0261 XPF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0271 XPF

2018 UGX to XPF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to XPF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 0.0286. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 0.0261.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0025 XPF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0269 to the December average rate of 0.0282, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0286 was down 10.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0318, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 143 XPF
2017 Average 147 XPF
Yearly Trough Low 131 XPF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12.39 XPF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0284
0.0261
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to XPF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0267, compared to 0.0276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0267
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0015 XPF (High: 0.0277 / Low: 0.0262). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 XPF (High: 0.0266 / Low: 0.0261).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0282) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0278), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0005 (+1.66%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0282
2017 Avg (December) 0.0278

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0274 0.0264 0.0269
February 0.0269 0.0263 0.0266
March 0.0267 0.0261 0.0265
April 0.0266 0.0261 0.0263
May 0.0275 0.0267 0.0271
June 0.0271 0.0262 0.0266
July 0.0277 0.0262 0.0272
August 0.0282 0.0270 0.0277
September 0.0273 0.0265 0.0269
October 0.0280 0.0270 0.0275
November 0.0284 0.0278 0.0281
December 0.0286 0.0280 0.0282