YEARLY HIGH
0.0755 YER
YEARLY LOW
0.0618 YER
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0704 YER

2016 UGX to YER Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to YER exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 23, valuing the pair at 0.0755. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 0.0618.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0138 YER. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0624 to the December average rate of 0.0695, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0755 was down 2.41% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0774, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 378 YER
2015 Average 335 YER
Yearly Trough Low 309 YER
Transaction Impact: A difference of 68.95 YER purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0759
0.0612
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to YER Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0683, compared to 0.0725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0041 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0683
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0118 YER (High: 0.0755 / Low: 0.0638). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 YER (High: 0.0742 / Low: 0.0739).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0118
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0720) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0718), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0002 (+0.26%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0720
2015 Avg (April) 0.0718

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0637 0.0618 0.0624
February 0.0641 0.0618 0.0627
March 0.0644 0.0637 0.0640
April 0.0755 0.0638 0.0720
May 0.0754 0.0737 0.0747
June 0.0748 0.0733 0.0742
July 0.0743 0.0736 0.0740
August 0.0743 0.0739 0.0741
September 0.0742 0.0739 0.0740
October 0.0740 0.0722 0.0729
November 0.0722 0.0689 0.0702
December 0.0704 0.0689 0.0695