YEARLY HIGH
0.0729 YER
YEARLY LOW
0.0640 YER
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0672 YER

2018 UGX to YER Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to YER exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 0.0729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.0640.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0089 YER. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0688 to the December average rate of 0.0674, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0729 was up 3.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0703, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 364 YER
2017 Average 346 YER
Yearly Trough Low 320 YER
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44.28 YER purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0691
0.0649
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to YER Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0677, compared to 0.0667 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0677
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0667

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was March, with a trading range of 0.0051 YER (High: 0.0729 / Low: 0.0678). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 YER (High: 0.0690 / Low: 0.0684).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0051
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0019 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 0.0687) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0693), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0005 (-0.75%).

2018 Avg (March) 0.0687
2017 Avg (March) 0.0693

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0690 0.0684 0.0688
February 0.0690 0.0683 0.0688
March 0.0729 0.0678 0.0687
April 0.0681 0.0674 0.0677
May 0.0675 0.0663 0.0672
June 0.0663 0.0640 0.0652
July 0.0680 0.0643 0.0667
August 0.0679 0.0664 0.0671
September 0.0665 0.0654 0.0658
October 0.0668 0.0654 0.0663
November 0.0675 0.0666 0.0670
December 0.0678 0.0669 0.0674