2013 VEF to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5867 EGP

YEARLY LOW

1.0800 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2065 EGP

2013 VEF to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 1.5867. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 26, dropping to 1.0800.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5067 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5258 to the December average rate of 1.0967, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.5867 was up 7.73% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.4728, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,934 EGP

2012 Average 7,069 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 5,400 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,533.48 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.6131

1.0460

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3116, compared to 1.1015 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2101 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3116

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1015

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.5067 EGP (High: 1.5867 / Low: 1.0800). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 EGP (High: 1.0958 / Low: 1.0946).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5067

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3719 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3719

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 1.4652) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.4055), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0597 (+4.25%).

2013 Avg (March) 1.4652

2012 Avg (March) 1.4055

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5604	1.4772	1.5258
February	1.5700	1.5604	1.5658
March	1.5867	1.0800	1.4652
April	1.1013	1.0812	1.0933
May	1.1111	1.1021	1.1071
June	1.1173	1.1095	1.1124
July	1.1175	1.1114	1.1138
August	1.1117	1.1093	1.1107
September	1.1109	1.0948	1.0977
October	1.0958	1.0946	1.0951
November	1.0968	1.0935	1.0947
December	1.1043	1.0936	1.0967