2016 VEF to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9643 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.8837 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1202 EGP

2016 VEF to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 1.9643. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 0.8837.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0806 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2390 to the December average rate of 1.8430, the exchange rate registered a net change of 48.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.9643 was up 54.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2711, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,821 EGP

2015 Average 6,101 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 4,418 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,403.04 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.9383

0.7940

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0796, compared to 1.1608 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0812 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0796

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1608

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.9040 EGP (High: 1.7938 / Low: 0.8897). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 EGP (High: 0.8904 / Low: 0.8893).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9040

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4390 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.8430) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.2388), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6042 (+48.77%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.8430

2015 Avg (December) 1.2388

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2434	1.2362	1.2390
February	1.2439	1.2381	1.2393
March	1.4134	1.2343	1.3291
April	0.8907	0.8878	0.8902
May	0.8909	0.8885	0.8903
June	0.8911	0.8837	0.8899
July	0.8905	0.8837	0.8893
August	0.8911	0.8875	0.8897
September	0.8901	0.8886	0.8895
October	0.8904	0.8893	0.8896
November	1.7938	0.8897	1.5637
December	1.9643	1.7844	1.8430