YEARLY HIGH
3.5310 HNL
YEARLY LOW
3.3181 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4336 HNL

2015 VEF to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the VEF to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 3.5310. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 3.3181.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2129 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3346 to the December average rate of 3.4626, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 3.5310 was up 4.14% compared to the 2014 peak of 3.3907, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,655 HNL
2014 Average 16,214 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 16,590 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,064.63 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

3.4898
3.3205
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4013, compared to 3.4659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0646 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4013
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 0.1228 HNL (High: 3.4437 / Low: 3.3210). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0161 HNL (High: 3.4800 / Low: 3.4639).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1228
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0161

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0174 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0174

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 3.4626) against the same month in 2014 (average: 3.3405), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1221 (+3.65%).

2015 Avg (December) 3.4626
2014 Avg (December) 3.3405

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3532 3.3181 3.3346
February 3.3585 3.3196 3.3482
March 3.4437 3.3210 3.3883
April 3.4746 3.3819 3.4095
May 3.4800 3.4639 3.4721
June 3.4675 3.4362 3.4547
July 3.4708 3.4467 3.4546
August 3.4743 3.4560 3.4664
September 3.4709 3.4472 3.4607
October 3.4984 3.4564 3.4751
November 3.4877 3.4644 3.4757
December 3.5310 3.4398 3.4626