2016 VEF to HNL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.5903 HNL

YEARLY LOW

2.2597 HNL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6081 HNL

2016 VEF to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 28, valuing the pair at 3.5903. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 2.2597.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3306 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5492 to the December average rate of 2.3354, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.5903 was up 1.68% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.5310, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,951 HNL

2015 Average 17,170 HNL

Yearly Trough Low 11,298 HNL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,653.06 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.7056

2.1321

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9166, compared to 2.2996 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6170 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9166

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2996

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0465 HNL (High: 2.3261 / Low: 2.2796). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0075 HNL (High: 2.2672 / Low: 2.2597).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0465

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.3113 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3113

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 3.5717) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.3482), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2235 (+6.67%).

2016 Avg (February) 3.5717

2015 Avg (February) 3.3482

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.5719	3.5279	3.5492
February	3.5903	3.5486	3.5717
March	3.5836	3.5619	3.5745
April	2.2672	2.2597	2.2632
May	2.2706	2.2615	2.2653
June	2.2830	2.2685	2.2760
July	2.2957	2.2627	2.2815
August	2.2998	2.2818	2.2911
September	2.2956	2.2812	2.2899
October	2.3004	2.2769	2.2910
November	2.3261	2.2796	2.3086
December	2.3503	2.3188	2.3354