2016 VEF to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2208.1912 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1298.3830 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1529.3981 IDR

2016 VEF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 2208.1912. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 1298.3830.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 909.8082 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2194.5542 to the December average rate of 1342.9330, the exchange rate registered a net change of -38.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2208.1912 was down 5.10% compared to the 2015 peak of 2326.9822, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,040,956 IDR

2015 Average 10,597,696 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 6,491,915 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,549,040.83 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2283.4834

1216.3334

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1737.0042, compared to 1321.7919 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 415.2123 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1737.0042

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1321.7919

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 56.9085 IDR (High: 2173.4162 / Low: 2116.5077). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.6802 IDR (High: 1310.1681 / Low: 1300.4879).

February Spread (Volatile) ±56.9085

October Spread (Stable) ±9.6802

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 761.1648 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -761.1648

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2194.5542) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1990.2642), the exchange rate shifted by +204.2900 (+10.26%).

2016 Avg (January) 2194.5542

2015 Avg (January) 1990.2642

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2208.1912	2177.5975	2194.5542
February	2173.4162	2116.5077	2139.0721
March	2108.7574	2058.3890	2081.8467
April	1325.1859	1314.2001	1320.6819
May	1368.5036	1316.6023	1346.5610
June	1368.5039	1321.7577	1339.3095
July	1319.0747	1308.4005	1313.7736
August	1330.9193	1311.3784	1318.8290
September	1330.5785	1298.3830	1315.2396
October	1310.1681	1300.4879	1305.2625
November	1357.5135	1307.1108	1334.7139
December	1358.7905	1330.8675	1342.9330