2013 VEF to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.8871 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.9179 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2003 MDL

2013 VEF to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 2.8871. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 1.9179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9692 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8237 to the December average rate of 2.0557, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.8871 was down 1.58% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.9334, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,436 MDL

2012 Average 14,090 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 9,590 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,846.07 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.9101

1.8732

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3682, compared to 2.0325 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3357 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3682

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0325

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.9213 MDL (High: 2.8871 / Low: 1.9658). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0262 MDL (High: 1.9883 / Low: 1.9621).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.9213

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0262

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.7053 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 2.6649) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.7556), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0907 (-3.29%).

2013 Avg (March) 2.6649

2012 Avg (March) 2.7556

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.8389	2.8031	2.8237
February	2.8637	2.7970	2.8209
March	2.8871	1.9658	2.6649
April	1.9755	1.9481	1.9596
May	1.9938	1.9386	1.9639
June	1.9883	1.9621	1.9760
July	2.0118	1.9179	1.9730
August	2.0316	1.9867	2.0171
September	2.0552	2.0037	2.0350
October	2.0867	2.0262	2.0563
November	2.0861	2.0338	2.0578
December	2.0868	2.0113	2.0557