2016 VEF to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.2622 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.9553 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2837 MDL

2016 VEF to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 3.2622. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 1.9553.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3069 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2163 to the December average rate of 2.0146, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.2622 was up 1.95% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.1996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,311 MDL

2015 Average 14,848 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 9,777 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,534.28 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.3409

1.8448

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5759, compared to 1.9916 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5844 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5759

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9916

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1415 MDL (High: 3.2622 / Low: 3.1206). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0101 MDL (High: 1.9826 / Low: 1.9725).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1415

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0101

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1558 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1558

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.2163) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.6374), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5789 (+21.95%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.2163

2015 Avg (January) 2.6374

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.2622	3.1206	3.2163
February	3.2154	3.1490	3.1763
March	3.1698	3.0895	3.1252
April	1.9793	1.9553	1.9695
May	2.0075	1.9712	1.9858
June	1.9962	1.9692	1.9825
July	1.9901	1.9698	1.9803
August	1.9826	1.9725	1.9763
September	1.9834	1.9730	1.9781
October	2.0103	1.9703	1.9903
November	2.0287	1.9831	2.0097
December	2.0261	1.9879	2.0146