YEARLY HIGH
1.7336 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.5964 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6487 DJF

2018 VUV to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VUV to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 1.7336. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 30, dropping to 1.5964.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1372 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6981 to the December average rate of 1.6062, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7336 was up 0.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7324, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,668 DJF
2017 Average 8,363 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,982 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 685.81 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7076
1.5940
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6743, compared to 1.6231 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0512 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6743
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6231

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0696 DJF (High: 1.7324 / Low: 1.6628). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 DJF (High: 1.6410 / Low: 1.6406).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0696
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0379 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0379

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.6981) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6411), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0570 (+3.47%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.6981
2017 Avg (January) 1.6411

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7336 1.6831 1.6981
February 1.7324 1.6628 1.6920
March 1.6914 1.6628 1.6793
April 1.6872 1.6578 1.6709
May 1.6635 1.6292 1.6497
June 1.6715 1.6298 1.6555
July 1.6517 1.6290 1.6395
August 1.6410 1.6406 1.6409
September 1.6456 1.6406 1.6414
October 1.6410 1.5964 1.6035
November 1.6159 1.5973 1.6071
December 1.6191 1.6004 1.6062