YEARLY HIGH
1.6165 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.3336 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5673 DJF

2019 VUV to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the VUV to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 1.6165. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 1.3336.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2829 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5950 to the December average rate of 1.5382, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.6165 was down 6.75% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.7336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,082 DJF
2018 Average 8,242 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 6,668 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,414.27 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.6119
1.5245
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5980, compared to 1.5367 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0613 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5980
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5367

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.2794 DJF (High: 1.6130 / Low: 1.3336). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 DJF (High: 1.6105 / Low: 1.5963).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2794
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0421 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0421

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 1.6046) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.6920), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0874 (-5.17%).

2019 Avg (February) 1.6046
2018 Avg (February) 1.6920

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6130 1.3336 1.5950
February 1.6165 1.5982 1.6046
March 1.6105 1.5963 1.6014
April 1.6109 1.5946 1.6017
May 1.6109 1.5888 1.5954
June 1.6024 1.5459 1.5897
July 1.5568 1.5381 1.5476
August 1.5472 1.5258 1.5332
September 1.5473 1.5243 1.5331
October 1.5469 1.5235 1.5317
November 1.5476 1.5292 1.5360
December 1.5438 1.5292 1.5382