2016 VUV to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1037 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.9570 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0223 RSD

2016 VUV to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VUV to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 1.1037. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 11, dropping to 0.9570.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1468 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9990 to the December average rate of 1.0818, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1037 was up 2.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0759, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,519 RSD

2015 Average 5,033 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 4,785 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 733.85 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0921

0.9690

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9953, compared to 1.0492 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0539 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9953

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0492

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0671 RSD (High: 1.0355 / Low: 0.9684). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0172 RSD (High: 1.0405 / Low: 1.0233).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0671

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0172

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0198 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.0818) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0001), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0817 (+8.17%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.0818

2015 Avg (December) 1.0001

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0150	0.9892	0.9990
February	1.0069	0.9570	0.9792
March	1.0163	0.9893	1.0045
April	1.0173	0.9873	1.0033
May	1.0019	0.9710	0.9905
June	1.0355	0.9684	0.9953
July	1.0456	1.0211	1.0360
August	1.0450	1.0143	1.0331
September	1.0405	1.0233	1.0342
October	1.0616	1.0326	1.0460
November	1.0821	1.0349	1.0642
December	1.1037	1.0628	1.0818