YEARLY HIGH
0.9587 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.8898 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9283 RSD

2018 VUV to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VUV to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 0.9587. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.8898.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0689 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9238 to the December average rate of 0.9379, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9587 was down 12.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0976, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,793 RSD
2017 Average 5,031 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 4,449 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 344.49 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9466
0.9057
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9207, compared to 0.9358 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0151 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9207
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9358

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0397 RSD (High: 0.9504 / Low: 0.9107). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0154 RSD (High: 0.9376 / Low: 0.9222).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0397
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0154

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0107 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0107

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.9432) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9689), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0256 (-2.65%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.9432
2017 Avg (August) 0.9689

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.9396 0.9101 0.9238
February 0.9248 0.8898 0.9131
March 0.9157 0.8977 0.9091
April 0.9235 0.8991 0.9096
May 0.9504 0.9107 0.9283
June 0.9531 0.9272 0.9405
July 0.9376 0.9222 0.9300
August 0.9587 0.9310 0.9432
September 0.9439 0.9248 0.9358
October 0.9424 0.9154 0.9286
November 0.9473 0.9316 0.9394
December 0.9497 0.9280 0.9379