YEARLY HIGH
36.2634 UGX
YEARLY LOW
33.2459 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
34.5394 UGX

2018 VUV to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VUV to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 36.2634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 33.2459.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0175 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.5859 to the December average rate of 33.5089, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 36.2634 was up 3.21% compared to the 2017 peak of 35.1363, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 181,317 UGX
2017 Average 169,151 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 166,230 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,087.37 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

35.9115
33.2905
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.8595, compared to 34.2194 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6401 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.8595
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.2194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.9341 UGX (High: 35.8287 / Low: 33.8946). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4992 UGX (High: 35.2035 / Low: 34.7043).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.9341
April Spread (Stable) ±0.4992

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0843 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0843

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 35.6931) against the same month in 2017 (average: 33.3813), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3118 (+6.93%).

2018 Avg (June) 35.6931
2017 Avg (June) 33.3813

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 35.3048 34.2493 34.5859
February 35.2291 34.1276 34.6789
March 34.9411 34.2510 34.6704
April 35.2035 34.7043 34.9165
May 35.0833 34.1474 34.6119
June 36.2634 35.0555 35.6931
July 35.8287 33.8946 34.6088
August 34.7478 33.9651 34.3812
September 35.2757 34.6923 35.0454
October 35.2503 33.7031 34.0336
November 34.0208 33.5011 33.7382
December 34.0176 33.2459 33.5089