YEARLY HIGH
34.2104 UGX
YEARLY LOW
31.3534 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.6307 UGX

2019 VUV to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the VUV to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 18, valuing the pair at 34.2104. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 31.3534.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8570 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.3706 to the December average rate of 31.7511, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 34.2104 was down 5.66% compared to the 2018 peak of 36.2634, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 171,052 UGX
2018 Average 172,674 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 156,767 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,285.22 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

33.9667
31.4410
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.4226, compared to 31.8388 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5837 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.4226
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.8388

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 1.8086 UGX (High: 33.8846 / Low: 32.0760). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2628 UGX (High: 31.9061 / Low: 31.6433).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.8086
December Spread (Stable) ±0.2628

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.1966 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1966

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 33.7562) against the same month in 2018 (average: 34.6119), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8557 (-2.47%).

2019 Avg (May) 33.7562
2018 Avg (May) 34.6119

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 33.6365 32.8934 33.3706
February 33.3305 32.9434 33.1086
March 33.5373 33.1982 33.3295
April 33.9477 33.4020 33.6365
May 34.2104 33.5533 33.7562
June 33.8846 32.0760 33.3341
July 32.3368 31.9659 32.1374
August 32.0646 31.3534 31.7855
September 32.0649 31.4950 31.6515
October 32.4049 31.4174 31.8170
November 32.2563 31.6909 31.8906
December 31.9061 31.6433 31.7511