YEARLY HIGH
11.8092 MOP
YEARLY LOW
10.9652 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.4879 MOP

2026 XDR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the XDR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 11.8092. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 20, dropping to 10.9652.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8440 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.5439 to the December average rate of 11.3054, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 11.8092 was up 1.18% compared to the 2025 peak of 11.6716, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,046 MOP
2025 Average 55,721 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 54,826 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,219.90 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

11.7063
11.2689
JanuMarcMayJuly

XDR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.5183, compared to 11.3054 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2129 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.5183
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.3054

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 0.5723 MOP (High: 11.5375 / Low: 10.9652). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0672 MOP (High: 11.3374 / Low: 11.2701).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5723
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0672

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2392 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2392

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 11.5439) against the same month in 2025 (average: 10.4271), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1167 (+10.71%).

2026 Avg (January) 11.5439
2025 Avg (January) 10.4271

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.8092 11.4382 11.5439
February 11.7786 11.6050 11.6699
March 11.6603 11.3164 11.4306
April 11.6641 11.3546 11.5547
May 11.6022 11.5010 11.5335
June 11.5375 10.9652 11.3772
July 11.3374 11.2701 11.3054