YEARLY HIGH
32.7445 UGX
YEARLY LOW
30.4063 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.6911 UGX

2016 XPF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XPF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 32.7445. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 30.4063.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3382 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.3743 to the December average rate of 31.7604, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 32.7445 was down 6.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.1658, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XPF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 163,723 UGX
2015 Average 150,434 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 152,032 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,690.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

32.3215
31.2535
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XPF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.6095, compared to 31.7727 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1632 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.6095
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.7727

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.9949 UGX (High: 32.7445 / Low: 30.7496). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3338 UGX (High: 31.9575 / Low: 31.6237).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.9949
September Spread (Stable) ±0.3338

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5405 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 31.8830) against the same month in 2015 (average: 27.2655), the exchange rate shifted by +4.6175 (+16.94%).

2016 Avg (February) 31.8830
2015 Avg (February) 27.2655

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.8209 30.5923 31.3743
February 32.7445 30.7496 31.8830
March 32.0424 30.4063 31.3425
April 32.1616 31.1022 31.7199
May 32.0080 31.2825 31.6427
June 32.0784 31.4261 31.6948
July 31.7882 31.0960 31.3801
August 32.0052 31.3355 31.7014
September 31.9575 31.6237 31.7950
October 32.0087 31.4273 31.7670
November 32.5850 31.9792 32.2325
December 32.6705 30.8926 31.7604