YEARLY HIGH
38.3120 UGX
YEARLY LOW
34.9912 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.8803 UGX

2018 XPF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XPF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 38.3120. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 34.9912.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3208 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.2125 to the December average rate of 35.4101, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 38.3120 was up 4.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 36.5607, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XPF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 191,560 UGX
2017 Average 171,005 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 174,956 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,603.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

38.2864
35.1486
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XPF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.5271, compared to 36.2335 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2936 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.5271
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.2335

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 2.0262 UGX (High: 38.1741 / Low: 36.1478). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6893 UGX (High: 38.3120 / Low: 37.6227).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.0262
April Spread (Stable) ±0.6893

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.1006 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 38.0249) against the same month in 2017 (average: 32.4855), the exchange rate shifted by +5.5394 (+17.05%).

2018 Avg (April) 38.0249
2017 Avg (April) 32.4855

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 37.8635 36.4608 37.2125
February 38.0918 37.2386 37.6562
March 38.2480 37.4669 37.7847
April 38.3120 37.6227 38.0249
May 37.4181 36.4259 36.9244
June 38.1185 36.8898 37.5597
July 38.1741 36.1478 36.8114
August 36.9948 35.4207 36.0770
September 37.7469 36.5846 37.1258
October 37.1052 35.7149 36.3793
November 36.0103 35.2433 35.5973
December 35.7423 34.9912 35.4101