YEARLY HIGH
4.1021 GMD
YEARLY LOW
3.1160 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6524 GMD

2018 ZAR to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ZAR to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 4.1021. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 3.1160.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9861 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9391 to the December average rate of 3.4627, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1021 was up 5.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.8778, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 205,103 GMD
2017 Average 172,314 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 155,800 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49,303.06 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0766
3.2261
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8596, compared to 3.4452 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8596
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4452

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.3744 GMD (High: 3.4904 / Low: 3.1160). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1305 GMD (High: 4.0701 / Low: 3.9396).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.3744
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1305

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2121 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2121

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.9391) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.2063), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7327 (+22.85%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.9391
2017 Avg (January) 3.2063

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1021 3.8273 3.9391
February 4.0916 3.8835 4.0058
March 4.0701 3.9396 3.9947
April 4.0056 3.7879 3.9027
May 3.8528 3.6954 3.7638
June 3.7505 3.3999 3.5517
July 3.6636 3.4112 3.5642
August 3.6351 3.2683 3.4270
September 3.4904 3.1160 3.2970
October 3.4878 3.3362 3.4029
November 3.6215 3.4267 3.5176
December 3.6110 3.3701 3.4627