YEARLY HIGH
2.0505 HNL
YEARLY LOW
1.5596 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.8167 HNL

2018 ZAR to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ZAR to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 2.0505. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 1.5596.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4909 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9388 to the December average rate of 1.6982, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.0505 was up 6.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.9270, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 102,524 HNL
2017 Average 88,270 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 77,979 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,544.79 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.0335
1.5970
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9313, compared to 1.7022 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2291 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9313
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7022

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1834 HNL (High: 1.8162 / Low: 1.6328). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0662 HNL (High: 2.0299 / Low: 1.9637).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1834
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0662

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0935 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0935

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.9971) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7873), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2099 (+11.74%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.9971
2017 Avg (February) 1.7873

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9912 1.9008 1.9388
February 2.0505 1.9355 1.9971
March 2.0299 1.9637 1.9951
April 1.9995 1.9008 1.9562
May 1.9406 1.8622 1.8971
June 1.9048 1.7310 1.8036
July 1.8257 1.7350 1.7917
August 1.8162 1.6328 1.7105
September 1.7065 1.5596 1.6334
October 1.6976 1.6175 1.6561
November 1.7841 1.6676 1.7233
December 1.7828 1.6496 1.6982