YEARLY HIGH
1064.2924 UGX
YEARLY LOW
987.6358 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1014.4857 UGX

2018 AED to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AED to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 1064.2924. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 987.6358.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 76.6566 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 990.9382 to the December average rate of 1011.1603, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1064.2924 was up 6.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 997.8230, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,321,462 UGX
2017 Average 4,922,789 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,938,179 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 383,282.95 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1050.3456
985.4490
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1007.1824, compared to 1021.7890 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.6066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1007.1824
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1021.7890

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 58.9643 UGX (High: 1061.8842 / Low: 1002.9199). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.6847 UGX (High: 996.4432 / Low: 987.7586).

July Spread (Volatile) ±58.9643
January Spread (Stable) ±8.6847

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 22.2817 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.2817

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 1044.9376) against the same month in 2017 (average: 977.3377), the exchange rate shifted by +67.5999 (+6.92%).

2018 Avg (June) 1044.9376
2017 Avg (June) 977.3377

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 996.4432 987.7586 990.9382
February 997.3872 987.6358 990.8570
March 1004.8857 991.3251 995.2227
April 1011.7197 1001.2396 1006.3978
May 1027.7002 1009.7751 1014.7410
June 1064.2924 1027.0901 1044.9376
July 1061.8842 1002.9199 1022.6559
August 1026.3911 1003.2734 1015.5700
September 1041.9860 1024.7551 1035.2020
October 1041.2339 1019.6917 1028.7063
November 1022.9849 1009.2877 1017.4394
December 1018.1796 1005.3443 1011.1603