YEARLY HIGH
1029.4336 UGX
YEARLY LOW
986.7011 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1008.5074 UGX

2019 AED to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the AED to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1029.4336. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 986.7011.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 42.7325 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1008.4723 to the December average rate of 1000.3896, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1029.4336 was down 3.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 1064.2924, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,147,168 UGX
2018 Average 5,072,769 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,933,506 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 213,662.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1028.0245
997.4780
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1012.7922, compared to 1004.2227 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.5695 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1012.7922
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1004.2227

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 26.3473 UGX (High: 1026.9683 / Low: 1000.6211). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.1028 UGX (High: 1011.5903 / Low: 1005.4875).

June Spread (Volatile) ±26.3473
March Spread (Stable) ±6.1028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 9.7546 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.7546

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1025.4789) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1014.7410), the exchange rate shifted by +10.7380 (+1.06%).

2019 Avg (May) 1025.4789
2018 Avg (May) 1014.7410

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1016.9290 995.7797 1008.4723
February 1008.3332 997.5830 1000.0236
March 1011.5903 1005.4875 1008.7131
April 1023.1455 1010.8643 1017.8331
May 1029.4336 1019.2469 1025.4789
June 1026.9683 1000.6211 1016.2322
July 1013.9053 1003.7398 1006.4776
August 1008.2609 986.7011 1004.8153
September 1005.2942 992.1839 1000.6372
October 1015.2381 998.2220 1006.7383
November 1010.1071 1002.9236 1006.2780
December 1008.6528 996.4209 1000.3896