YEARLY HIGH
1012.4050 UGX
YEARLY LOW
957.5654 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
976.5853 UGX

2021 AED to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the AED to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 1012.4050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 957.5654.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 54.8397 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1004.9287 to the December average rate of 967.9050, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1012.4050 was down 5.14% compared to the 2020 peak of 1067.2755, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,062,025 UGX
2020 Average 5,059,599 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,787,827 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 274,198.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1009.3261
956.5572
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 986.4404, compared to 966.7302 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 19.7102 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 986.4404
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 966.7302

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 24.5261 UGX (High: 988.0282 / Low: 963.5021). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.9903 UGX (High: 998.7603 / Low: 994.7700).

October Spread (Volatile) ±24.5261
March Spread (Stable) ±3.9903

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 20.0198 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -20.0198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1004.9287) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1001.4546), the exchange rate shifted by +3.4740 (+0.35%).

2021 Avg (January) 1004.9287
2020 Avg (January) 1001.4546

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1012.4050 995.1166 1004.9287
February 1001.5066 996.3928 998.3380
March 998.7603 994.7700 996.9085
April 997.4044 973.5364 987.3098
May 978.7229 961.1226 967.2900
June 968.3179 957.5654 963.8673
July 970.5301 963.2779 966.7231
August 967.2503 961.0148 963.1776
September 969.2211 958.0330 960.9546
October 988.0282 963.5021 973.9302
November 974.6544 960.5741 967.6905
December 974.6057 963.6297 967.9050