2013 ARS to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1597 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.1203 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1441 AZN

2013 ARS to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.1597. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.1203.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0394 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1587 to the December average rate of 0.1238, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.1597 was down 12.64% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.1828, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 799 AZN

2012 Average 865 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 601 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 197.14 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.1622

0.1204

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1532, compared to 0.1350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0182 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1532

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0075 AZN (High: 0.1278 / Low: 0.1203). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 AZN (High: 0.1576 / Low: 0.1556).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0075

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0066 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0066

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.1587) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.1820), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0233 (-12.81%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.1587

2012 Avg (January) 0.1820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1597	0.1576	0.1587
February	0.1576	0.1556	0.1567
March	0.1555	0.1530	0.1543
April	0.1534	0.1514	0.1524
May	0.1513	0.1485	0.1499
June	0.1485	0.1456	0.1472
July	0.1455	0.1426	0.1443
August	0.1424	0.1383	0.1406
September	0.1383	0.1355	0.1369
October	0.1354	0.1328	0.1342
November	0.1324	0.1278	0.1305
December	0.1278	0.1203	0.1238