2015 ARS to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1206 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0787 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1103 AZN

2015 ARS to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 0.1206. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.0787.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0419 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0912 to the December average rate of 0.1046, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.1206 was up 0.20% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.1203, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 603 AZN

2014 Average 485 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 393 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 209.53 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.1222

0.0884

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1098, compared to 0.1108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1098

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.0419 AZN (High: 0.1205 / Low: 0.0787). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 AZN (High: 0.1154 / Low: 0.1143).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0419

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0045 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 0.0967) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0998), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0030 (-3.04%).

2015 Avg (February) 0.0967

2014 Avg (February) 0.0998

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0920	0.0907	0.0912
February	0.1206	0.0902	0.0967
March	0.1201	0.1187	0.1194
April	0.1199	0.1177	0.1187
May	0.1178	0.1167	0.1172
June	0.1167	0.1146	0.1159
July	0.1154	0.1143	0.1149
August	0.1144	0.1129	0.1136
September	0.1128	0.1111	0.1121
October	0.1114	0.1100	0.1105
November	0.1107	0.1082	0.1091
December	0.1205	0.0787	0.1046