2018 ARS to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0924 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0412 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0650 AZN

2018 ARS to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.0924. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0412.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0512 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0891 to the December average rate of 0.0450, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0924 was down 25.55% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 462 AZN

2017 Average 521 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 206 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 255.93 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0936

0.0397

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0798, compared to 0.0502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0296 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0798

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0185 AZN (High: 0.0625 / Low: 0.0440). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 AZN (High: 0.0846 / Low: 0.0829).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0185

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0132 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0132

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0891) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1167), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0276 (-23.65%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0891

2017 Avg (January) 0.1167

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0924	0.0860	0.0891
February	0.0878	0.0835	0.0852
March	0.0846	0.0829	0.0839
April	0.0846	0.0828	0.0841
May	0.0822	0.0681	0.0725
June	0.0684	0.0589	0.0640
July	0.0626	0.0588	0.0617
August	0.0625	0.0440	0.0574
September	0.0462	0.0412	0.0442
October	0.0474	0.0431	0.0460
November	0.0481	0.0436	0.0469
December	0.0466	0.0444	0.0450