2018 ARS to GEL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1409 GEL

YEARLY LOW

0.0593 GEL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0949 GEL

2018 ARS to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1409. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0593.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0816 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1347 to the December average rate of 0.0704, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1409 was down 19.10% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1741, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 704 GEL

2017 Average 757 GEL

Yearly Trough Low 296 GEL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 408.02 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1418

0.0567

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1162, compared to 0.0736 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0425 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1162

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0736

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0258 GEL (High: 0.0898 / Low: 0.0640). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0021 GEL (High: 0.1223 / Low: 0.1202).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0258

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0194 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0194

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1347) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1698), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0351 (-20.68%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1347

2017 Avg (January) 0.1698

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1409	0.1261	0.1347
February	0.1280	0.1222	0.1241
March	0.1223	0.1202	0.1210
April	0.1218	0.1194	0.1204
May	0.1185	0.0976	0.1045
June	0.0988	0.0848	0.0923
July	0.0899	0.0846	0.0886
August	0.0898	0.0640	0.0832
September	0.0673	0.0593	0.0638
October	0.0684	0.0620	0.0662
November	0.0738	0.0679	0.0696
December	0.0729	0.0693	0.0704