2021 ARS to GEL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0390 GEL

YEARLY LOW

0.0300 GEL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0340 GEL

2021 ARS to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.0390. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.0300.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0090 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0385 to the December average rate of 0.0304, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0390 was down 27.93% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0541, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 195 GEL

2020 Average 222 GEL

Yearly Trough Low 150 GEL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 44.76 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0393

0.0296

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0364, compared to 0.0315 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0049 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0364

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0315

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0026 GEL (High: 0.0370 / Low: 0.0345). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 GEL (High: 0.0320 / Low: 0.0318).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0026

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.0385) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0480), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0096 (-19.93%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.0385

2020 Avg (January) 0.0480

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0390	0.0379	0.0385
February	0.0378	0.0370	0.0374
March	0.0371	0.0363	0.0367
April	0.0375	0.0369	0.0371
May	0.0370	0.0345	0.0359
June	0.0344	0.0328	0.0331
July	0.0331	0.0318	0.0325
August	0.0320	0.0318	0.0319
September	0.0318	0.0315	0.0316
October	0.0318	0.0315	0.0316
November	0.0317	0.0306	0.0313
December	0.0309	0.0300	0.0304