YEARLY HIGH
6.9373 GMD
YEARLY LOW
5.4101 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2107 GMD

2013 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 6.9373. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 19, dropping to 5.4101.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5272 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7580 to the December average rate of 5.9894, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 6.9373 was down 4.08% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.2325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,687 GMD
2012 Average 34,222 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 27,051 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,636.01 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

6.8926
5.4748
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5932, compared to 5.8282 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7650 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5932
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8282

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.8481 GMD (High: 6.2582 / Low: 5.4101). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1459 GMD (High: 5.7720 / Low: 5.6261).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8481
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1459

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7192 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7192

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 6.7580) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.8649), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1069 (-1.56%).

2013 Avg (January) 6.7580
2012 Avg (January) 6.8649

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9373 6.5406 6.7580
February 6.8346 6.5581 6.6632
March 6.6577 6.4419 6.5426
April 6.5445 6.3465 6.4303
May 6.6954 6.2827 6.3905
June 6.8926 6.4071 6.7744
July 6.6582 5.9206 6.0552
August 6.2695 5.7776 5.8938
September 5.7720 5.6261 5.6932
October 5.6881 5.5298 5.5929
November 6.2582 5.4101 5.7448
December 6.1432 5.8137 5.9894