YEARLY HIGH
5.8352 GMD
YEARLY LOW
4.6691 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9277 GMD

2014 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 5.8352. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 5, dropping to 4.6691.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1661 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4822 to the December average rate of 5.0463, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 5.8352 was down 15.89% compared to the 2013 peak of 6.9373, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,176 GMD
2013 Average 31,038 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 23,345 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,830.60 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

5.5591
4.6360
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9715, compared to 4.8839 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0877 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9715
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8839

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.0796 GMD (High: 5.8352 / Low: 4.7556). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0400 GMD (High: 5.0761 / Low: 5.0361).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0796
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0400

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6276 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 5.4822) against the same month in 2013 (average: 6.7580), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2758 (-18.88%).

2014 Avg (January) 5.4822
2013 Avg (January) 6.7580

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8352 4.7556 5.4822
February 4.9159 4.7517 4.8546
March 4.8460 4.7687 4.8123
April 4.9617 4.7612 4.8592
May 4.9683 4.9022 4.9359
June 4.9141 4.8657 4.8850
July 4.8896 4.8287 4.8603
August 4.8151 4.7206 4.7801
September 4.7555 4.6709 4.7130
October 5.0944 4.6691 4.8369
November 5.0975 5.0522 5.0667
December 5.0761 5.0361 5.0463