YEARLY HIGH
0.6138 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.5116 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5433 GMD

2021 ARS to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.6138. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.5116.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1023 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6015 to the December average rate of 0.5158, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.6138 was down 28.47% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.8582, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,069 GMD
2020 Average 3,682 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 2,558 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 511.43 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.6101
0.5072
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5631, compared to 0.5235 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0396 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5631
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5235

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0239 GMD (High: 0.6138 / Low: 0.5899). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 GMD (High: 0.5221 / Low: 0.5191).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0239
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0217 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0217

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.6015) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.8541), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2526 (-29.57%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.6015
2020 Avg (January) 0.8541

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6138 0.5899 0.6015
February 0.5880 0.5704 0.5798
March 0.5712 0.5571 0.5636
April 0.5610 0.5472 0.5521
May 0.5504 0.5410 0.5445
June 0.5405 0.5342 0.5372
July 0.5354 0.5289 0.5318
August 0.5288 0.5236 0.5264
September 0.5302 0.5216 0.5236
October 0.5246 0.5207 0.5227
November 0.5221 0.5191 0.5206
December 0.5189 0.5116 0.5158