2019 ARS to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4627 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.2864 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3748 MDL

2019 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 0.4627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.2864.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1763 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4583 to the December average rate of 0.2887, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4627 was down 50.23% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.9297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,314 MDL

2018 Average 3,202 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 1,432 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 881.66 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4752

0.2717

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4243, compared to 0.3253 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0989 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4243

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3253

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1133 MDL (High: 0.4025 / Low: 0.2891). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0042 MDL (High: 0.2944 / Low: 0.2902).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1133

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0042

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0751 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0751

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.4583) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.8923), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4341 (-48.64%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.4583

2018 Avg (January) 0.8923

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4627	0.4523	0.4583
February	0.4595	0.4309	0.4459
March	0.4310	0.3939	0.4163
April	0.4297	0.3887	0.4100
May	0.4079	0.3943	0.4001
June	0.4279	0.4023	0.4150
July	0.4297	0.4038	0.4175
August	0.4025	0.2891	0.3424
September	0.3233	0.2986	0.3128
October	0.3076	0.2885	0.2988
November	0.2944	0.2902	0.2918
December	0.2930	0.2864	0.2887