YEARLY HIGH
0.2039 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.1727 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1861 MDL

2021 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.2039. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.1727.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0312 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2008 to the December average rate of 0.1741, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.2039 was down 30.85% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.2948, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,019 MDL
2020 Average 1,236 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 863 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 155.97 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.2035
0.1714
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1932, compared to 0.1789 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1932
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1789

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0084 MDL (High: 0.1975 / Low: 0.1892). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 MDL (High: 0.1765 / Low: 0.1746).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0084
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0051 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0051

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.2008) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.2899), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0891 (-30.74%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.2008
2020 Avg (January) 0.2899

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2039 0.1976 0.2008
February 0.1987 0.1939 0.1963
March 0.1959 0.1933 0.1944
April 0.1975 0.1892 0.1931
May 0.1905 0.1861 0.1881
June 0.1889 0.1853 0.1866
July 0.1889 0.1842 0.1870
August 0.1849 0.1801 0.1819
September 0.1808 0.1777 0.1791
October 0.1779 0.1738 0.1755
November 0.1765 0.1746 0.1755
December 0.1754 0.1727 0.1741