YEARLY HIGH
0.2948 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.2039 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2473 MDL

2020 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 0.2948. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.2039.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0909 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2899 to the December average rate of 0.2083, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.2948 was down 36.30% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.4627, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,474 MDL
2019 Average 1,872 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 1,020 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 454.35 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.2981
0.2001
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2736, compared to 0.2209 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0527 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2736
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2209

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.0202 MDL (High: 0.2873 / Low: 0.2670). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0035 MDL (High: 0.2228 / Low: 0.2193).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0202
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0151 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0151

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 0.2899) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.4583), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1683 (-36.73%).

2020 Avg (January) 0.2899
2019 Avg (January) 0.4583

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2948 0.2858 0.2899
February 0.2892 0.2826 0.2865
March 0.2832 0.2759 0.2798
April 0.2873 0.2670 0.2766
May 0.2720 0.2552 0.2620
June 0.2539 0.2416 0.2469
July 0.2447 0.2286 0.2376
August 0.2296 0.2228 0.2259
September 0.2228 0.2193 0.2212
October 0.2214 0.2162 0.2181
November 0.2172 0.2115 0.2143
December 0.2121 0.2039 0.2083