2018 ARS to MVR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8373 MVR

YEARLY LOW

0.3730 MVR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5907 MVR

2018 ARS to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.8373. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.3730.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4642 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8109 to the December average rate of 0.4089, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8373 was down 17.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0203, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,186 MVR

2017 Average 4,675 MVR

Yearly Trough Low 1,865 MVR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,321.16 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8519

0.3593

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7262, compared to 0.4552 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2711 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7262

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4552

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1662 MVR (High: 0.5653 / Low: 0.3991). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 MVR (High: 0.7675 / Low: 0.7588).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1662

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1200 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1200

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.8109) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9674), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1565 (-16.18%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.8109

2017 Avg (January) 0.9674

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8373	0.7843	0.8109
February	0.7954	0.7641	0.7785
March	0.7675	0.7588	0.7642
April	0.7708	0.7523	0.7622
May	0.7460	0.6200	0.6603
June	0.6225	0.5331	0.5812
July	0.5697	0.5320	0.5588
August	0.5653	0.3991	0.5204
September	0.4196	0.3730	0.4004
October	0.4305	0.3904	0.4171
November	0.4368	0.3953	0.4255
December	0.4229	0.4030	0.4089