YEARLY HIGH
0.4189 MVR
YEARLY LOW
0.2570 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3305 MVR

2019 ARS to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.4189. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 0.2570.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1620 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4144 to the December average rate of 0.2582, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4189 was down 49.96% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.8373, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,095 MVR
2018 Average 2,948 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 1,285 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 809.80 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4301
0.2426
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3748, compared to 0.2863 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0886 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3748
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2863

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0903 MVR (High: 0.3477 / Low: 0.2573). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 MVR (High: 0.2588 / Low: 0.2570).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0903
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0639 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0639

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.4144) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.8109), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3964 (-48.89%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.4144
2018 Avg (January) 0.8109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4189 0.4090 0.4144
February 0.4172 0.3899 0.4034
March 0.3882 0.3510 0.3748
April 0.3710 0.3360 0.3585
May 0.3477 0.3402 0.3438
June 0.3647 0.3431 0.3541
July 0.3720 0.3521 0.3643
August 0.3477 0.2573 0.3003
September 0.2794 0.2597 0.2724
October 0.2682 0.2570 0.2638
November 0.2601 0.2571 0.2586
December 0.2588 0.2570 0.2582