YEARLY HIGH
0.1826 MVR
YEARLY LOW
0.1500 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1628 MVR

2021 ARS to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.1826. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.1500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0327 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1794 to the December average rate of 0.1516, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1826 was down 29.57% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.2593, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 913 MVR
2020 Average 1,104 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 750 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 163.42 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.1821
0.1488
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1693, compared to 0.1563 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1693
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1563

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0063 MVR (High: 0.1826 / Low: 0.1764). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 MVR (High: 0.1597 / Low: 0.1581).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0063
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0056 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0056

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.1794) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.2579), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0786 (-30.46%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.1794
2020 Avg (January) 0.2579

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1826 0.1764 0.1794
February 0.1758 0.1714 0.1737
March 0.1710 0.1680 0.1696
April 0.1692 0.1647 0.1668
May 0.1652 0.1631 0.1640
June 0.1634 0.1603 0.1622
July 0.1612 0.1595 0.1602
August 0.1597 0.1581 0.1590
September 0.1581 0.1564 0.1572
October 0.1567 0.1549 0.1557
November 0.1548 0.1526 0.1539
December 0.1530 0.1500 0.1516