YEARLY HIGH
9.8905 NGN
YEARLY LOW
5.4503 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.7039 NGN

2019 ARS to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 9.8905. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 27, dropping to 5.4503.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.4402 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.7266 to the December average rate of 6.0635, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 9.8905 was down 49.42% compared to the 2018 peak of 19.5550, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,453 NGN
2018 Average 68,928 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 27,252 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,201.07 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.0929
5.6972
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.7093, compared to 6.6985 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0109 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.7093
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6985

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 2.6771 NGN (High: 8.1274 / Low: 5.4503). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0404 NGN (High: 6.0836 / Low: 6.0432).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.6771
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0404

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.5238 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5238

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 9.7266) against the same month in 2018 (average: 18.9582), the exchange rate shifted by -9.2316 (-48.69%).

2019 Avg (January) 9.7266
2018 Avg (January) 18.9582

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.8905 9.5865 9.7266
February 9.7174 9.1285 9.4316
March 9.0812 8.2235 8.7318
April 8.6527 7.8665 8.3649
May 8.1009 7.9449 8.0335
June 8.5029 6.8233 7.9676
July 8.6734 8.2072 8.5002
August 8.1274 5.4503 6.9764
September 6.5647 6.1005 6.3895
October 6.3017 6.0328 6.1902
November 6.0973 6.0412 6.0709
December 6.0836 6.0432 6.0635