YEARLY HIGH
6.1093 NGN
YEARLY LOW
4.5443 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4361 NGN

2020 ARS to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 6.1093. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 4.5443.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5650 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0456 to the December average rate of 4.6494, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 6.1093 was down 38.23% compared to the 2019 peak of 9.8905, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,547 NGN
2019 Average 38,476 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 22,721 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,825.11 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

6.1852
4.5098
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8452, compared to 5.0270 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8182 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8452
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0270

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.3941 NGN (High: 6.0865 / Low: 5.6924). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1028 NGN (High: 6.1093 / Low: 6.0065).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3941
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1878 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1878

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 6.0456) against the same month in 2019 (average: 9.7266), the exchange rate shifted by -3.6810 (-37.84%).

2020 Avg (January) 6.0456
2019 Avg (January) 9.7266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1093 6.0065 6.0456
February 6.0195 5.8709 5.9418
March 6.0865 5.6924 5.8747
April 6.0358 5.6550 5.8723
May 5.9086 5.6601 5.7622
June 5.6440 5.5000 5.5744
July 5.5011 5.3613 5.4336
August 5.3634 5.1970 5.2611
September 5.2093 5.0207 5.1063
October 5.0066 4.8577 4.9280
November 4.8746 4.6978 4.7834
December 4.7670 4.5443 4.6494