YEARLY HIGH
1.0121 NGN
YEARLY LOW
0.9084 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9652 NGN

2026 ARS to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ARS to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 26, valuing the pair at 1.0121. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 0.9084.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1037 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9799 to the December average rate of 0.9235, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.0121 was down 36.52% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.5942, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,060 NGN
2025 Average 6,236 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 4,542 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 518.58 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.9922
0.9173
JanuMarcMayJuly

ARS to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9721, compared to 0.9235 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0486 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9721
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9235

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0500 NGN (High: 1.0121 / Low: 0.9621). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0162 NGN (High: 0.9880 / Low: 0.9718).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0500
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0162

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0330 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0330

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 0.9859) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.4328), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4469 (-31.19%).

2026 Avg (March) 0.9859
2025 Avg (March) 1.4328

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0002 0.9566 0.9799
February 0.9847 0.9463 0.9646
March 1.0121 0.9621 0.9859
April 1.0030 0.9595 0.9849
May 0.9880 0.9718 0.9752
June 0.9697 0.9287 0.9422
July 0.9373 0.9084 0.9235