YEARLY HIGH
6.0208 PKR
YEARLY LOW
2.9866 PKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5686 PKR

2018 ARS to PKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to PKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.0208. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.9866.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0342 PKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8255 to the December average rate of 3.6781, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.0208 was down 13.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.9324, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,104 PKR
2017 Average 31,883 PKR
Yearly Trough Low 14,933 PKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,171.00 PKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.0878
2.9398
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3452, compared to 3.7921 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5531 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3452
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7921

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.3766 PKR (High: 4.5528 / Low: 3.1762). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1162 PKR (High: 5.7478 / Low: 5.6316).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.3766
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1162

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9547 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.8255) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.5864), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7610 (-11.55%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.8255
2017 Avg (January) 6.5864

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0208 5.6272 5.8255
February 5.7145 5.4751 5.5816
March 5.7476 5.4346 5.5603
April 5.7478 5.6316 5.7129
May 5.5969 4.6273 4.9273
June 4.6547 4.2140 4.4637
July 4.7279 4.2023 4.5127
August 4.5528 3.1762 4.1568
September 3.3383 2.9866 3.2022
October 3.7203 3.1209 3.5149
November 3.7880 3.4402 3.6878
December 3.8034 3.5563 3.6781